AMERICA'S WAY BACK
Reclaiming Freedom, Tradition, and Constitution
WILMINGTON DELAWARE
TO THE NEXT GENERATION:
Joshua, Robert, William, Matthew, John, Christopher, Kathleen, Jessica, Erin, Megan, Jeffrey, Allison, Jackson, and Madeline
Introduction - The Challenge
One - New Deal Faith Shattered
Two - Change Requires More Muscle
Three - Why Can't We All Agree?
Four - Superseding Tradition?
Five - Why Freedom?
Six - Rule of Law
Seven - Moral Power and Creative Energy
Eight - The Constitutional Miracle
Nine - A Constitutional Way Forward
Ten - History's Most Exciting Adventure
Notes
Acknowledgments
Index
THE PAST SEVERAL YEARS HAVE been dispiriting for Americans. Economic stagnation, moral exhaustion, and looming bankruptcy have become hallmarks of our time.
Nothing has seemed to work. In 2008, Americans dramatically rejected the actions of Republican George W. Bush's administration by embracing a new, progressive president. Democrat Barack Obama promised a new energy to fulfill the progressive ideal of a responsible welfare state; he would commit the full power and public resources of the national government necessary to resolve America's major problems. But even as the administration produced more “transformational” legislation than any in memory, the economy sputtered, unemployment remained stubbornly high, the federal debt skyrocketed, and the “entitlement bomb” came closer to going off. Obama managed reelection in 2012, but as one of his prominent supporters put it, “The thrill of 2008 had turned into the frustration of 2012.” It now was clear that “our democracy seems incapable of fixing the serious problems the nation confronts.”1
There is a good reason for our failures to solve our economic and cultural problems: few leaders—of either political party—understand the source of the problems. As a result, their so-called solutions simply have not worked, and yet leaders call for more of the same old techniques—more money poured into more government programs, and tighter controls over the American creative spirit. This persistence in the face of obvious failure reflects a triumph of progressive hope over the real-world experiences of the past century. Welfare-state progressivism has so corrupted modern political thinking that it has obscured the secret of America's success: the U.S. Constitution's capacity to harmonize the twin ideals of freedom and tradition.
There is an inherent tension between freedom and tradition. Indeed, supporters of one over the other often suggest that a synthesis of the two cannot work. It must be one or the other. Traditionalists claim that pure freedom leads to disorder, decline in public morality, and ultimately anarchy. Libertarians, meanwhile, claim that pure tradition is restrictive, authoritarian, and ultimately tyrannical.
But this book argues that each single ideology needs to be synthesized with the other to escape its own limitations. A close study of the American—and broader Western—experience reveals that managing the tension between freedom and tradition has been the very source of our historic creativity and prosperity. Far from being incompatible, freedom and tradition need each other: freedom needs tradition for law, order, inspiration, and energy; tradition needs freedom to escape stagnation, coercion, and decline. The great achievement of the Constitution's framers was in providing a means for synthesizing freedom and tradition. They carefully crafted a flexible system in which powers were separated and a multiplicity of institutions checked and complemented one another.
Unfortunately, few Americans now understand their Constitution as the Founders did. Most schoolchildren learn about the formal separation of powers among the three branches of the federal government. Often overlooked are the Constitution's more extensive checks and balances—especially the way the document explicitly reserves most rights to the people and to the states. In Federalist 51, James Madison noted that the Constitution provided “double security” for the people's rights by dividing power “between two distinct governments.” The division of powers allowed different traditions and communities, and the individuals representing them, to act freely and creatively. This is the essential aspect of limited constitutional government: it allows most decisions to be made regionally, locally, and privately—not to be forced by Washington.
Today, however, the central government is the major decision maker on most important matters. This change did not happen by accident. Influenced by late-nineteenth-century European thinkers, America's progressive movement proclaimed the superiority of concentrated power over the Constitution's separated powers. Progressives called for a new “science of administration,” believing that national experts could solve society's problems better than the old Constitution ever could. As we will see, this fatally flawed belief has led to most of the fundamental problems we are experiencing today.
To successfully confront these problems, America needs a restoration of the constitutional synthesis of freedom and tradition that has regenerated the West, and the United States in particular, so often before. Such a revival will not be easy, not when the progressive revolutions of the past century have so obscured the foundational role freedom and tradition have played. To rediscover the old Constitution, we must take an extended intellectual journey—into public administration, political science, law, philosophy, even the nature of science itself.
A Few Great Men
Several of the great figures of our time inspired this book. One remains a universally recognized historical figure; one continues to inspire academic professionals in economics, politics, law, and philosophy, in all of which he excelled; another was a charismatic public figure and writer; and a fourth—and most important for this book—is hardly recognized today. These four men were Ronald Reagan, F. A. Hayek, William F. Buckley Jr., and Frank S. Meyer.
Professor Hayek was the first to make a deep impression on the world. His 1944 book The Road to Serfdom was a rare bestseller for an academic work. Hayek came from a distinguished Austrian family of intellectuals and entered the study of economics as a means to combat the devastation his nation faced after the Great War. He became a member of the informal group of academics in Vienna referred to as the Austrian School, which included his teacher Ludwig von Mises, the philosopher of science Karl Popper, and the great economic historian Joseph A. Schumpeter, who all promoted the virtues of freedom and markets as superior alternatives to the then-dominant doctrine of socialism.2
Hayek's 1960 book, The Constitution of Liberty, convinced me of the importance not only of his economic insights on freedom but also of his stress on law and the Western tradition as the foundation for the market and for the free society generally. My interest in Hayek inevitably led to Popper, Schumpeter, and Mises, who together helped refine the cosmology, epistemology, and understanding of history, politics, and law that form the basis for this book. Later, I had the opportunity to meet and learn from Professor Hayek through the international professional association of scholars he organized, the Mont Pelerin Society.
In 1955, William F. Buckley Jr. founded National Review magazine. He gathered a group of intellectuals of both libertarian and traditionalist bent who were unified only in opposition to what they considered a threatening communism and a moribund progressive welfare state. Over time, the creative interaction among the editors and the electrifying atmosphere they created for others outside that circle produced a “fusion” of the ideals of freedom and tradition that would become the unifying theme for the modern conservative movement.
No figure was more important to this fusionism than Frank Meyer, an editor at National Review who worked closely with Buckley. Born into a secular family, Meyer had been attracted to communism at a young age, becoming a major functionary of the Communist Party USA.3 After becoming disillusioned and reading The Road to Serfdom, he was ready in 1955 to join National Review. Meyer was the provocateur of the debate within the magazine and beyond. He systematized the results through his regular column, “Principles and Heresies,” and other writings—especially his 1962 book, In Defense of Freedom. Meyer showed that the synthesis of freedom and tradition had played the essential role in the rise of Western civilization and its American offshoot.
While Buckley charmed government officials and wooed the media, celebrities, businessmen, and the public at large, Meyer won the hearts and minds of the young intellectuals and activists who would shape the new constitutional conservative movement in America. He was inspirational, irascible, and irresistible, a force of nature. His written and personal insights infuse this whole book.
Ronald Reagan was a great admirer of this band of theorists and freely admitted how much they influenced his thinking. Indeed, he saw much of his role in later life as putting their ideas into practice. His success can be measured by the fact that two of his greatest critics, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, conceded that he was transformational in both teaching and achieving his goals.4 He was a personal and professional inspiration to this author: I worked for him for more than a decade, at the end as his director of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management.
The years since President Reagan have seen a decline in economic freedom, traditional values, and the constitutional and social institutions supporting them. Still, understanding his successes can illuminate the way back. Reagan understood the power of both freedom and traditional virtue. What's more, he recognized that the synthesis of freedom and tradition cannot be sustained simply for pragmatic political purposes. There must be a deep philosophical commitment to harmonizing both ideals. The political process is by necessity full of messy compromises. Without a deep commitment to the idea of the synthesis itself, neither freedom nor tradition can long survive.
In The Constitution of Liberty, Hayek wrote, “Paradoxical as it may appear, it is probably true that a successful free society will always in a large measure be a tradition-bound society.”5 This book shows how right Hayek's critical insight was, and how, guided by this truth, America can reclaim the freedom and traditions that have made it great.
IS IT POSSIBLE EVEN ALL these years later to suppress a smile at Ronald Reagan's little joke about the government's relentless attempts to solve all of life's problems: “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: ‘I'm from the government and I'm here to help’”?
President Reagan may have made a joke, but today, Paul Light is serious about the problem—very serious. Light is the endowed professor of public service at New York University, the founding director of the Brookings Center for Public Service, and a senior adviser to the National Commission on the Public Service. Writing in the Washington Post, the company-town paper of the federal government, he made a remarkable statement about the American national government. Light was prompted to write when, on Christmas Day 2010, a previously identified terrorist bomber successfully passed airport security, to be foiled only by his own incompetence:
The systemic failures that led to the attempted bombing of Northwest Flight 253 are, sadly, all too familiar. Substitute the words “Christmas Day plot” for tainted meat, poisoned peppers, aircraft groundings, the Columbia shuttle accident, Hurricane Katrina, counterfeit Heparin, toxic toys, the banking collapse, Bernie Madoff or even Sept. 11, and the failure to put Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab on the “no-fly” list becomes yet another indication that the federal government can no longer guarantee the faithful execution of our laws.1
Professor Light is not alone in condemning the federal government's performance. In fact, the loss of faith in the modern welfare state is widespread. The National Commission on the Public Service has issued two reports detailing the government's inability to execute its laws. The reports were endorsed by avatars of establishment welfare-state progressivism: Walter Mondale, Vernon Jordan, Donna Shalala, Doug Fraser, John Gardner, Charles “Mac” Mathias, Edmund Muskie, John Brademas, Derek Bok, Elliot Richardson, Paul Volcker, and dear old Gerry Ford, among many others.2
When Professor Light wrote, the widely accepted Pew Research Center surveys provided a detailed picture of the public's opinions about government and how it differed from the climate of opinion in the late 1990s: “At that time, the public's desire for government services and activism was holding steady. This is not the case today. Just 22% say they can trust the government in Washington almost always or most of the time, among the lowest measures in half a century.”3 The decline in support was not just for politicians but also for the experts in the bureaucracy who must make the programs work:
Favorable ratings for federal agencies and institutions have fallen since 1997–98 for seven of 13 federal agencies included in the survey. The declines have been particularly large for the Department of Education, the Food and Drug Administration, the Social Security Administration, as well as the Environmental Protection Agency, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.4
Being an expert on the management of the welfare state, Professor Light thought that much of the problem was simply administrative and could be cured by organizational reform. Some of the problems identified were conventional—too many layers of government for those at the top to understand what was going on below them; too many political appointees undergoing an “agonizing” confirmation process, resulting in too many executive vacancies; and using too many contractors, whom government officials could not supervise well.
But the good professor cited some disturbing facts about the very experts who populate the public service bureaucracy: only a third of federal employees told government pollsters that their promotions were based on merit; even fewer thought poor performers were held accountable; and less than 40 percent believed innovation and creativity were rewarded. This bureaucratic slack, Light noted, “contributed to the Christmas Day incident” and the general decline of government.5
This is not how the modern progressive welfare state was supposed to work.
Bureaucracy: The Modern Solution
With government the butt of so many jokes—Reagan also quipped that “a government bureau is the nearest thing to eternal life we'll ever see on this earth”—it is nearly impossible to understand how bureaucracy once was considered the salvation of civilization.
In the nineteenth century, European intellectuals began hailing the “scientific” approach to administration as the solution to the failings of previous regimes. The German economic historian Max Weber captured this approach in his classic Theory of Social and Economic Organization. There he argued that the traditional forms of government were no longer appropriate. Ruling authority should not be derived from lineage, as in monarchies or clans, or from the exceptional qualities of a charismatic leader.6 Weber held that authority should be based on rational rules, not arbitrary personal status or power. He called for bureaucratic authority based on a rational, hierarchical ordering of society. Weber praised the efficiency of a system, whether public or private, whereby logical rules clearly fixed responsibilities among various bureaus and organizations:
Experience tends universally to show that the purely bureaucratic type of administrative organization—that is, the monocratic variety of bureaucracy—is, from a purely technical point of view, capable of attaining the highest degree of efficiency and is in this sense formally the most rational known means of carrying out imperative control over human beings. It is superior to any other form in precision, in stability, in the stringency of its discipline, and in its reliability. It thus makes possible a particularly high degree of calculability of results for the heads of the organization and for those acting in relation to it. It is finally superior both in intensive efficiency and in the scope of its operations, and is formally capable of application to all kinds of administrative tasks…. The primary source of the superiority of bureaucratic administration lies in the role of technical knowledge which, through the development of modern technology and business methods in the production of goods, has become completely indispensable.7
A group of self-identified progressive American intellectuals took notice of this new model of efficient organization. In 1886 one such academic, a newly minted PhD, published a pathbreaking article titled “The Study of Administration.” Expressing admiration for the efficiencies of the bureaucratic systems “developed by French and German professors,” the scholar wrote that Americans should not “be frightened at the idea of looking into foreign systems of administration for instruction and suggestion.” Although he conceded that the European system needed to be adapted for American “popular sovereignty” and local conditions and institutions, he declared that the true challenge was to “make public opinion willing to listen and then see to it that it listens to the right things.” The “right things” were to turn political administration over to professional experts and let them decide on scientific grounds what was good for society.8
Unfortunately, the scholar said, “not much impartial scientific method is to be discerned in [America's] administrative practices.” The source of the problem was the U.S. Constitution, which divided power rather than concentrated it. The Constitution's division of powers had frustrated progress in the United States from the beginning, he argued. According to “The Study of Administration,” the Constitution's framers were wrong to fear the concentration of power: “There is no danger in power, if only it be not irresponsible. If it be divided, dealt out in shares to many, it is obscured; and if it be obscured, it is made irresponsible. But if it be centered in heads of the service and in heads of branches of the service, it is easily watched and brought to book. If to keep his office a man must achieve open and honest success, and if at the same time he feels himself entrusted with large freedom of discretion, the greater his power the less likely is he to abuse it, the more is he nerved and sobered and elevated by it.” The “science of administration” would provide that responsible form of concentrated power.9
A little more than a quarter century later, the author of that groundbreaking article became president of the United States. As president, Woodrow Wilson put much of his progressive thinking into practice. In 1912 he announced a New Freedom program that created the central institutions of the bureaucratic welfare state: the Federal Reserve banking system; progressive income taxation; loans to the largest private-sector business of the day, agriculture; the Federal Trade Commission and the antitrust bureau, which marked the beginning of the regulatory state; and more government regulation generally. These measures fundamentally changed American government, centralizing authority on the premise—and promise—that the federal bureaucracy could more effectively deal with modern problems.10 Wilson, however, was too hemmed in as a minority president with a conservative Congress, and later by the demands of World War I, to implement fully his constitutional reform program.
Progressivism really became the dominant fact of American government with the election of Franklin Roosevelt, who in 1932 pledged “a new deal for the American people,” a “new order of competence and courage,” a new way of governing that would compassionately guarantee Americans freedom from want and fear.11 Roosevelt threw the whole power of a vastly expanded government against the Great Depression, beginning the long reign of progressivism in American government and politics, which endures to this day. Progressivism was not a partisan movement. President Theodore Roosevelt was a leading member of the progressive faction in the Republican Party and he ran as presidential nominee of the Progressive Party. Some modern historians trace the effective beginning of the New Deal to progressive Republican Herbert Hoover's programs, especially his Reconstruction Finance Corporation.12
By 1960 the progressive welfare state had become, as its most famous theorist, Gunnar Myrdal, boasted, “the widely acclaimed ideal of a whole nation.” Americans by then had accepted the progressive dogma that national prosperity and welfare had come into being not “as a result of the unhampered play of market forces, but through public policies, which are all under the ultimate sanction of the state.” The American public expected the government to move to solve social ills. But even by that point the people had grown dissatisfied with the government's intrusiveness. “To many persons, the term ‘Welfare State’ has negative, not positive, connotations,” Myrdal wrote. He worried that this public skepticism made people reluctant to grant authorities the central planning power he thought was necessary to make the welfare state work efficiently.13 Of course, before the 1960s were out, the federal government had massively expanded its bureaucratic power yet again under Lyndon Johnson's Great Society.
Only by the late 1970s, after years of brutal stagflation—an economy fettered by both inflation and stagnation—did the bipartisan faith in the bureaucratic welfare state show signs of weakening. Even then, however, President Reagan's efforts to reduce the burden of government were quickly overturned. His successors once again turned to expert bureaucracy to plan better for the general welfare. Republican President George W. Bush epitomized the commitment to progressive bureaucratic solutions, declaring, “We have a responsibility that when somebody hurts, government has got to move.”14
Failing the Test
Bush entered the presidency promising to be both empathetic and effective, pledging his commitment to “compassionate conservatism” and to using his skills as the first MBA president to run government efficiently.15 When asked what kind of conservative he was, he said he was an “efficient-government conservative” as opposed to a small-government conservative, reflecting the progressivism of his hero Theodore Roosevelt.16
The national government's response to Hurricane Katrina in 2005 offered the clearest test of Bush's vision and the welfare-state hope in the federal bureaucracy's efficiency. Progressive columnist E. J. Dionne Jr., the man President Bill Clinton credited with inspiring his “New Democrat” politics, noted that the Katrina disaster was “a time when government is morally obligated to be competent, prepared, innovative, flexible, well-financed—in short, smart enough and, yes, big enough to undertake an enormous task.” As Dionne put it, the “government is the enemy until you need a friend.”17
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) set up headquarters in Washington even before the storm landed and began planning distribution of supplies and organizing outside assistance from New Orleans. President Bush declared the hurricane a national disaster on Monday, August 29, the day the storm hit the Gulf Coast. FEMA's parent, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), proclaimed the storm an “incident of national significance” on Tuesday.
But soon it became clear that the federal government was failing this big test. FEMA initiated its new post-9/11 DHS security pass system, allowing only those with the required expertise to enter the affected zone. This immediately became a bar to outside assistance. Florida attempted to send five hundred airboats but could not receive the needed security clearance; a flotilla from Shreveport was halted too. Bush housing secretary Alphonso Jackson complained at a cabinet meeting that his attempts to provide emergency housing had been thwarted by red tape. When trying to send a private helicopter to the scene, a congressman representing the area was told that FEMA was in charge, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) was in charge, and the military was. A mayor in his district was put on hold for forty-five minutes. Security forces blocked scores of private rescue boats from docking on the river. A sheriff was told to e-mail a request for help when he had no electricity.18
Bureaucratic planning done years earlier was the biggest culprit. The federal government had actually taken control of the Mississippi levees in 1879. Those protecting New Orleans were supposedly designed to deal with a Category 3 hurricane; for a time Katrina was a Category 4. Who decided on a lower level of protection? Why, the federal government, of course, in the form of presidential budgets, congressional appropriations, and Corps of Engineers plans and projects.19 The Corps expert bureaucracy must look at the entire U.S. seacoast and make decisions on objective needs, and there is not enough money in the world to build against Category 4 storms all along America's thousands of miles of coastline. New Orleans is particularly vulnerable, but many other locations face potential danger—the largest previous disaster was in Galveston, Texas, for example. Bush had actually spent slightly more on levees than Clinton and much more on organizational expertise in the new Department of Homeland Security. But big money and big government did not help.
A larger problem was that President Bush, along with his FEMA director, the governor of Louisiana, the mayor of New Orleans, and many other officials, encouraged the idea that “we are in charge” and all would be all right as long as the government was on the case.20 The only problem was that big government was not in charge and can never be. Once it is big, it metastasizes into multiple forms. As the Wall Street Journal's Daniel Henninger noted, “Large public bureaucracies, whether the FBI and the CIA or FEMA and the Corps of Engineers, don't talk to each other much.” The need to win government appropriations makes agencies responsive to “political whim,” while “real-world problems, as the 9/11 Report noted, inevitably seem distant and minor.”21
But President Bush accepted the progressive argument that expertise centrally directed with sufficient power can solve big problems. His own brother, Florida governor Jeb Bush, criticized the federal government for trying to do too much: “I can say with certainty that federalizing emergency response to catastrophic events would be a disaster as bad as Hurricane Katrina. If you federalize, all the innovation, creativity, and knowledge would subside.”22 Clearly, FEMA and DHS's security controls severely interrupted both local and voluntary efforts to assist the victims, including the major efforts the state of Florida offered. The agency discouraged multiple offers of private help.23 Foreign donations were halted at airports and ports to secure required State Department and Department of Homeland Security clearance. “Buy America” provisions of labor law were used to deny a large Dutch offer.24
Local agencies and the private sector made a huge impact when they were not blocked by federal controls and regulations. Most of the local people who were first on the scene performed rather well, many heroically. They were supported by private resources of an incredible variety. The Red Cross sent thousands of volunteers to help and delivered financial contributions from tens of millions of Americans. Anheuser-Busch contributed 2.5 million cans of drinking water a week. Bristol-Myers-Squibb gave unlimited access to baby food. Eli Lilly sent 40,000 vials of refrigerated insulin. Kellogg sent seven truckloads of crackers and cookies. General Electric gave trailers, modular space, and medical equipment. Cendant donated rooms for emergency workers. Home Depot sent $500,000 for housing repair. Springs Industry sent sheets, blankets, and comforters. DTE Energy sent 100 trucks and 75 tree trimmers. General Motors gave 150 vehicles to the Red Cross. Navistar arranged for its heavy trucks to go to the region. Fifteen airlines donated thousands of trips to send victims to shelters in other cities. The list of private assistance is endless.25
In testimony before the Senate Energy Committee less than a month after Katrina, government and industry experts told the surprised politicians that the private regional electricity grid, the natural gas and petroleum gas lines originating in the Gulf, and the local refining capabilities were already back to 80 percent of capacity and would reach 90 percent in a week or so. Meanwhile, government-run water and sewage pipelines and levees in Louisiana and Mississippi were out indefinitely.26
The bottom line is that during and after Katrina, the most efficient federal organization, the Coast Guard, rescued only 6,500 people; local governments helped tens of thousands of others; private efforts rescued tens of millions.27
Politicians and bureaucrats did not learn the lesson. The solution to emergency efforts was still to exercise firmer federal control, which results in more red tape and more bureaucracy.28 In October 2005, as Hurricane Wilma approached Florida, Admiral Timothy Keating, the head of the Northern Command, the military body newly created to oversee homeland defense, told Congress that more national resources were necessary. He added that active-duty military forces should be given complete authority for responding to catastrophic domestic disasters.29 President Bush had already created a new federal procedure, the National Incident Management System (NIMS), to force federal, state, and local officials to work together, all under federal authority.30 Even while acknowledging that “most often these incidents are managed most efficiently at the local level,” NIMS required overall national management, including a national ID that would exclude all nonofficial citizen volunteers, compounding the Katrina error.31
State and local officials fought back against federal power. The head of Florida's National Guard, General Douglas Burnett, later summed up the attitude of people on the ground: “Did we need a three-star general from Texas to come to direct our response? No, we did not.” Floridians outmaneuvered the feds, ensuring that the NIMS committee was staffed mainly with Florida state officials and was chaired by Governor Jeb Bush.32
Unlike Professor Light, most progressives cannot afford to see the deeper problem: the progressive faith in big government itself.
Bush's Fault?
Rather than face the possibility that national planning itself was inadequate to the scope of the problem, progressives sounded a constant refrain: that Katrina was “Bush's fault.” Author Greg Anrig wrote a whole book, The Conservatives Have No Clothes, to prove that President Bush had a “hostility toward government” that caused the government's efforts to fail.33 In fact, the president did direct enormous resources toward Katrina, and they were managed by bureaucratic experts, not by political appointees, much less by the president himself. What other resources of the national government could he have thrown at Katrina? His FEMA director could have expressed himself better, but he was essentially correct as far as what the feds possibly could have accomplished: “Considering the dire circumstances that we have in New Orleans—virtually a city that has been destroyed—things are going relatively well.”34
Contrary to Anrig, budget expenditures clearly show that Bush pretty much accepted the progressive logic. In his first term he increased nondefense discretionary government spending more than any recent president, Democratic or Republican—by 25 percent, or a rate of 6.2 percent per year. His Medicare prescription drug program was the first major new entitlement since Lyndon Johnson.35 By the end of his second term, Bush had increased discretionary spending 104 percent, compared with only 11 percent during Clinton's presidency. Subsidy programs grew by 30 percent under Bush.36 Some hostility to active government!
Well, Bush might have spent, but he was hostile to regulation, the progressives responded. For example, in the book The Wrecking Crew: How Conservatives Rule, Thomas Frank insisted that Bush showed he really opposed regulation when he said that “government should be market based.”37 Anrig claimed that the Bush administration exceeded even the Reagan years in deregulation.38 Yet it was the Bush administration that created (with Congress, of course) a whole new regulatory department—DHS—to deal with Katrina-like disasters. The move failed, but not because there was insufficient regulation.
There was plenty of regulation under Bush. It just didn't work.
Was it lack of regulations that led to the widespread problems found at Walter Reed Army Medical Center in 2007? The military provides health care to nine million soldiers, and the Department of Veterans Affairs covers five million more. Two massive bureaucracies baffled patients, to say nothing about the Physical Disability Board process, which took endless time to make a determination regarding return to duty and degree of disability. Only 22 percent of the most widely used new drugs were available through the Department of Veterans Affairs, and three million seniors had switched to the Medicare program to get its larger choice. The greatest problem was breaking through the multiple regulations of two different bureaucratic systems. The result was that the most deserving of all governmental clients—wounded veterans—were confused and experienced delays in treatment or received little or no assistance.39
What could be more important than securing the homeland from terrorist attack? Would this be something President Bush would wish to wreck? In fact, the DHS airport screening bureaucracy received the most funds and management attention, but the results were abysmal. In tests between November 2001 and February 2002, screeners missed 70 percent of knives, 30 percent of guns, and 60 percent of mock bombs. In 2003, testers were able to sneak explosives and weapons past the screeners at fifteen airports nationwide. Between October 2005 and January 2006, homemade bombs were passed through security at all twenty-one airports tested.40 Making things more difficult, Congress passed bills allowing union collective bargaining over screening matters. DHS secretary Michael Chertoff was reduced to telling Congress that the greatest need was more intelligence about local activities, which could be gathered only if everyone got “to know their neighbors better.”41
The Bush administration actually increased regulation in almost every field—to record levels, in fact. A comprehensive study by the Competitive Enterprise Institute's Clyde Wayne Crews shows that by 2008 the Bush administration had 79,435 pages of regulations in the official Federal Register—an increase of more than 8 percent over even the Carter administration's all-time high (73,258 pages in 1980). By contrast, the Reagan administration had cut the number of pages of regulations more than 30 percent from the Carter years, to 50,616. A 2008 letter to President Bush signed by both conservatives and liberals (including the Competitive Enterprise Institute and the Environmental Defense Fund) put the matter bluntly: “Your administration has already issued more regulations than any in history.” This is hostility to regulation?42
“How Much Can Government Do?”
The economic crisis that began in 2008 showed in even starker terms the failure of the progressive welfare state. Progressives hailed the New Deal's interventions for “ending the Great Depression.” For decades thereafter it was accepted wisdom that the government had mastered the business cycle and could, through government spending and regulation, protect against any similar catastrophe. As Washington Post columnist Robert Samuelson put it, the conceit of modern economics “has been that we had solved the problem of stability. Oh, there would be periodic recessions, but the prospects of a major economic collapse were negligible because we knew how the system worked and could take steps to prevent it.”43
But on September 29, 2008, the Dow Jones stock prices dropped 777 points, and several major banks appeared to be on the edge of failure. The whole economic system seemed at risk. President Bush undoubtedly had cause to remember the old saw that economists were created by God to make weather forecasters look good.
Even presumed free marketers were on board for government to save the economy in the face of the presumed threats. Before the key congressional vote on Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's record-shattering $700 billion bailout and socialization of investment-banking risk, the editors of the Wall Street Journal declared that “this government intervention is justified” (although they preferred the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to the Treasury and the Fed).44 The editors disparaged the House Republicans who had temporarily defeated the bailout as running “for cover,” and they criticized the few free-market economic analysts who opposed the plan as ideologues “safe in their think tanks” who think economic reality is an “academic seminar.”45
In reaction to the Federal Reserve bailout of Bear Stearns, the generous debt guarantee to JPMorgan Chase, and the opening of direct credit lines to other investment firms, E. J. Dionne Jr. could not contain himself: “Never do I want to hear again from my conservative friends how brilliant capitalists are, how much they deserve their seven-figure salaries and how government should keep its hands off the private economy.”46
Still, it was clear to the Wall Street Journal editors that the government caused the panic in the first place:
• “The original sin of this crisis was easy money,” which the Federal Reserve had promoted right up to the present crisis, but especially from 2003 to 2005, creating a “vast subsidy for debt that both households and firms exploited.”
• Federal and state regulations created an oligopoly of ratings agencies—S&P, Moody's, and Fitch—that promised to rate the risk on securities accurately. With government protection implied, risk taking increased. Congress's 2007 action to end the oligopoly, unfortunately, came too late.
• In 2004 the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) allowed the more regulated finance firms, such as Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns, to increase leverage rates from the previous ten-to-one ratio up to thirty- or forty-to-one. When the bull market cooled, those firms failed.
• The Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 “compels banks to make loans to poor borrowers who often cannot repay them.” In 1993 the Clinton administration rewrote the regulations to force more loans and in 1994 announced a National Homeownership Strategy to push even more poorly financed minority borrowers into mortgages. Spurred on by Congress to issue more and more “affordable mortgages” to those who could not afford them, the government-created Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bought the “increasingly questionable” mortgages that began the rout. They were allowed to hold just 2.5 percent of capital compared with 10 percent for banks. Wonder why these loans might fail in a crisis?47
It is not as if no one foresaw what would happen. In 2005 the normally opaque Federal Reserve chairman, Alan Greenspan, told Congress in the bluntest possible terms: If Fannie and Freddie “continue to grow, continue to have the low capital that they have, continue to engage in the dynamic hedging of their portfolios, which they need to do for interest rate risk aversion, they potentially create ever-growing potential systemic risk down the road. We are placing the total financial system of the future at a substantial risk.”48
Many suggested that a lack of government regulation had caused the crisis. But as economist Alan Reynolds emphasized, there was no shortage of regulation. Even after Congress repealed the banking regulatory provisions of the Glass-Steagall Act in the late 1990s, the federal government still issued and enforced plenty of regulations—through the Federal Reserve, the SEC, the Comptroller of the Currency, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Not one of those august agencies exhibited foresight or concern about the default risk among even many prime mortgages, or about any lack of transparency with respect to bundling mortgages into securities. Reynolds summed up the matter well: “People do not become wiser, more selfless, or more omniscient simply because they work for government agencies.”49
In fact, the experts created the problem in the first place and had no idea how to fix it. The Washington Post's Samuelson wrote just before the bailout vote, “Our leaders are making up their responses from day to day because old ideas of how the economy works have failed them.” We were witnessing “the bankruptcy of modern economics,” he said.50 A mere two weeks after the bill passed Congress, Treasury proved Samuelson correct by fundamentally changing the program from buying troubled assets to buying senior preferred stock and warrants of the largest banks, without changing the law.
Even Secretary Paulson acknowledged the limits of government effectiveness. In March—six months before he began pushing for the $700 billion bailout—he had appeared on Fox News Sunday and admitted that a correction was “inevitable.” He added, “Can we outlaw the forces of gravity? You know, how much can government do?”51
Yes, what can the government do? It actually took a decade and a world war to end the Great Depression, despite the New Deal's claims of success. Many economists believe the Federal Reserve's actions may have caused the Depression in the first place.52 The New Deal regulatory scheme could not avoid or solve the stagflation of the Jimmy Carter years, the $250 billion savings-and-loan bank failure crisis of the mid-1980s, the commercial banking crisis of the late 1980s, or several dozen smaller recessions in between.
53
And those projections are optimistic, to say the least. A key promise of the Obama administration's health-care overhaul was that it would save Medicare hundreds of billions of dollars. The official report of the Trustees of Social Security and Medicare takes pains to convey this impression, showing the costs as a percentage of GDP flattening out around 2030 and holding steady thereafter. But in an appendix to the report, Medicare's chief actuary observes that pretty much everything in the preceding two hundred pages is bunk, forced through by a politicized Congress insisting on rosy assumptions. He labels the estimates “implausible,” saying that the report's financial projections “do not represent a reasonable expectation for actual program operations in either the short range…or the long range.”54
Even President Bush's failed proposal to substitute private accounts for perhaps 2 percent of current Social Security contributions would have been insufficient to deal with the problem. And his 2003 Medicare prescription drug bill added one and a half times the total unfunded liability of the Social Security program to the Medicare liabilities.55
A chart from the Trustees of Social Security and Medicare report presents a precise road map to the coming bankruptcy of the federal government. Entitlement costs already outstrip the revenue generated by these programs—and the gap is growing rapidly. As every politician knows, these programs are unsustainable. The Ponzi-like approach of Social Security promises greater benefits than are actuarially supported by income, but politicians could ignore the issue because the system took eighty years before it went into the red. Lyndon Johnson's Medicare/Medicaid went into the red the same year—in about half the time it took Social Security.
Still, few leaders dare challenge the public's expectations or address the coming financial implosion.
One Last Chance
The profound reality today is that a greatly respected progressive like Professor Light can come to the reluctant conclusion that most of the problem with welfare-state government is fundamental:
Tinkering will not fix these problems. Congress and the president must embrace far-reaching reform in what government is asked to do and how it implements laws. The question is not whether government has an audacious agenda but whether it can convert great endeavors into achievement. One thing is certain. Substantial reform will not happen until Congress and the president acknowledge that the Christmas Day plot is symptomatic of a much larger threat. They merely need to read the two national commission reports to start drafting legislation. Until that happens, the next failure is only a matter of time.56
Notice the “in what government is asked to do” part. Since when had a progressive suggested that there was anything government was not supposed to do to help people in need?
The reports of the National Commission on the Public Service likewise suggested that the problems were endemic. As the second report concluded, “There are too many decision-makers, too much central clearance, too many bases to touch, and too many overseers with conflicting agendas…. Accountability is hard to discern and harder still to enforce.”57 But even these probing reports did not really give fundamental solutions. Is it possible to cut layers, bureaucratization, centralization, and nasty politics without doing fewer “audacious” things? Even the presumably administrative problems seem to require more radical solutions.
Progressivism entered American politics promising to solve problems through expert bureaucracy if only the national government were given sufficient resources and authority to plan effectively for the general welfare. But over the past century the federal government has been given unimaginable resources and authority, and still the results have been abysmal.
Public confidence in the welfare state was finally shaken in the late 1970s. Americans no longer believed that the government could save them from want and fear. Indeed, the government seemed a major part of the problem. The structures President Woodrow Wilson had set up to regulate trade, banks, business, and agriculture had been added to over the years. Each time the regulatory regimes failed, subsequent presidents and Congresses simply added new regulatory controls and new layers of bureaucratization. This is how we got to the point where Professor Light can conclude that government can no longer meet its constitutional obligation to faithfully execute its laws.
Is it any wonder that the federal government's favorability has been declining for decades (except for a short-lived improvement following 9/11)? Even the poor, the main justification for progressive policies, do not believe that government works for them. A massive study of low-income workers by the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation and the Washington Post found that 53 percent said government programs that “try to improve the condition of working families” do not have “much impact”; 20 percent said they actually “make things worse.” This was not a partisan issue: low-income Americans did not believe any change in political administration would help.58
The problem with the modern welfare state is not a lack of resources or regulations. It is more fundamental. Why is it that after such a long record of reform the United States finds itself in a bureaucratic paralysis, near bankruptcy?
To understand why America's Constitution is breaking under the burden of modern progressivism, in coming chapters we will traverse world history and philosophy, the rule of law and human motivation, the nature of science as understood by Wilson's new theory of administration, and more. The solution, as we will see, is not to produce some simple, semiscientific utopian blueprint but to recover the Constitution. And that will require much more moral and intellectual effort.59
That effort is essential. Progressives were presented with one final opportunity to make their dream a reality beginning in 2008. Barack Obama sensed Americans' fears and frustrations. President Bush's approach had failed, and the new president promised renewed hope and positive change. With strong majority support in both houses of Congress, President Obama still had time to avoid the spending crash, recast the economy, and redeem the progressive dream.
So what happened?