cover

CONTENTS

Cover

About the Book

About the Author

Also by Peter Popham

List of Illustrations

Map of Burma

Timeline

List of Names

Title Page

Dedication

Introduction

 1 Suu Kyi Free

 2 Man Out of Trousers

 3 Snapshots of Freedom

 4 The Clinton Clinch

 5 Into Parliament

 6 Open for Business

 7 The West Pours In

 8 Alienation

 9 The Road to Nirvana

10 The Enigma of Suu

11 In the Line of Fire

12 The Lady and the Generals

13 In Arcadia

14 Peace in Our Time

15 The Landslide

 Notes

 Picture Section

 Glossary

 Further Reading

 Index

 Acknowledgements

 Copyright

Also by Peter Popham

The Lady and the Peacock

Tokyo: the City at the End of the World

ABOUT THE BOOK

She was a heroine of our times, a symbol of supreme courage in the face of tyranny. Then, in 2010, Burma’s generals opened the door a chink: Aung San Suu Kyi was released from house arrest, and her country began to change.

Suu Kyi’s acclaimed biographer, Peter Popham, describes what happened after that. Travelling across the country, meeting aristocrats, monks and politicians, freedom fighters, punks and rebels, he shows how hope has slowly returned to the lives of the Burmese. He also examines the fate of the hill tribes, and uncovers how the world’s politicians and businessmen are vying for influence.

But with greater openness, long-suppressed prejudices have burst into the open: intolerant Buddhist preachers have whipped up the latent hostility of the Burmese against people of other races and beliefs, especially the Muslim Rohingya.

Aung San Suu Kyi forged a working relationship with the President, a former general, and was elected to parliament with a landslide majority. But this Nobel Peace Prize winner has refused to take a firm stand on minority rights, to the dismay of many in the West. The Lady and the Generals offers a compelling portrait of this fascinating country and asks where Burma and Suu Kyi herself – with her bravery, her brilliance and her limitations – are heading next. .

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Peter Popham has toured Burma as an undercover journalist many times since his first visit to the country in 1991. A foreign correspondent and commentator with the Independent newspaper, he covered South Asia (including Burma) for a period in the late 90s. Popham interviewed Suu Kyi when she was released from house arrest in 2002, and has met her again several times. He lives in London.

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for Liz with love

LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS

Map of Burma with inset of Rangoon

BLACK AND WHITE PLATES

(All photographs taken by author except where stated)

 1.  Aung San and his wife Daw Khin Kyi with Suu as a baby: photo in Aung San Memorial Museum in Natmauk, upper Burma.

 2.  A young Suu with her diplomat mother in India: photo in Aung San Memorial Museum.

 3.  Aung San’s birthplace in Natmauk, now a museum.

 4.  Survivors of Cyclone Nargis in Irrawaddy Delta, five years on.

 5.  Heat haze over parliament in Naypyidaw.

 6.  The large symbolic patta or alms bowl at the entrance to parliament.

 7.  The gleaming marble halls of Burma’s parliament.

 8.  Politicians in uniform gaung baungs (turbans) in parliament.

 9.  President Thein Sein (centre) at a conference in Rangoon in 2014 (Thwin Maung Maung).

10. Suu’s Naypyidaw home where she stays when parliament is sitting.

11. Ashin Wirathu: firebrand Buddhist leader in his monastery in Mandalay.

12. Abbot U Par Mount Kha: ‘Buddhism is weak because of Islam’ (Thwin Maung Maung).

13. Aung Win, a Rohingya activist, outside his home on the outskirts of Sittwe, Arakan state.

14. Ma Khin Aye, a Muslim of Meiktila, who lost her home in the violence.

15. Devastation in the town after the communal violence of March 2013.

16. Many Muslim-owned shops in the town were burned out.

17. One of several mosques destroyed by mobs in Meiktila.

18. The ruins of the neighbourhood where Ma Khin Aye lived with her mother.

19. There were victims on both sides – displaced Buddhist families receiving food parcels.

20. Suu in a crowd of MPs and visitors in parliament, 2015.

21. With censorship lifted, Suu’s face appeared on many magazine covers.

22. Suu did not baulk at wearing many different outfits for NLD calendars.

23. Suu at a school opening in Natmauk, her father’s birthplace.

24. U Win Tin, the conscience of the NLD, who died in 2014 (Han Thar).

25. Gentle Rangoon punk ‘Einstein’ is a sign of Burma’s changing society (Daniele Tamagni)

26. Thura Shwe Mann, Speaker of parliament’s lower house and ex-general, inspecting troops (Han Thar).

27. Shwe Mann meeting a soldier injured in fighting in Kokang, eastern Burma (Han Thar).

28. Dawt Pen and Ni Kil, survivors of the 1943 Japanese occupation of their village in Chin state (Chris Steele-Perkins).

29. Early morning bus in the muddy main street of Hakha, Chin state’s biggest town (Chris Steele-Perkins).

30. Young village boys learning English in Chin state (Chris Steele-Perkins).

31. Han Naung Wai, peace negotiator and son of Burma’s first president (Han Thar).

32. Suu answers media questions at a press conference in the garden of her Rangoon home, days before the election (Thwin Maung Maung).

33. NLD campaign lorry spreading the word in Rangoon (Thwin Maung Maung).

34. Suu’s huge rally in Rangoon proved her enduring popularity (Thwin Maung Maung).

35. Old guard 1: U Tin Oo, emeritus chairman of the NLD in his late eighties, campaigned vigorously.

36. Old guard 2: U Win Thein, co-founder of the NLD, was on a short list of possible candidates for president.

37. Old guard 3: U Nyan Win, the party’s veteran spokesman, at the NLD’s head office.

38. Young blood: Zayar Thaw, former hip-hop music star, now an NLD MP.

39. Khun Tun Oo, leader of the Shan NLD, an ally of Suu’s and a big winner in the 2015 election.

40. Independent candidate U Myo Khin, who challenged the NLD, outside a polling station (Thwin Maung Maung).

41. San Tin Kyaw outside a polling station with friend on election day, when he hoped to represent his Muslim community (Thwin Maung Maung).

42. 8 November 2015: eager voters formed queues outside polling stations before dawn (Thwin Maung Maung).

43. Many voters were optimistic about the result (Thwin Maung Maung).

44. Aung Thein (far right): ‘I’m so happy because I am free to vote’ (Thwin Maung Maung).

45. 2 December 2015: all smiles after her landslide election victory, Aung San Suu Kyi shakes hands with President Thein Sein (Myanmar Ministry of Information/APImages).

LIST OF NAMES

Note on Burmese names: Burmese do not have surnames, only given names that may number between one and four. Usually all given names are used when addressing someone, often preceded by an honorific, such as ‘U’ (for an older man) or ‘Daw’ (for an older woman).

Aung San Suu Kyi’s family and entourage

ALEXANDER ARIS (Burmese name Myint San Aung): Suu and Michael’s first son.

KIM ARIS (Burmese name Thein Lin): Suu and Michael’s second son.

AUNG SAN: Suu’s father, hero of Burmese independence struggle; often referred to as ‘Bogyoke’ (pronounced ‘Bo-joke’) – Burmese for ‘General’.

AUNG SAN LIN: Suu’s elder brother, who drowned at age nine.

AUNG SAN OO: Suu’s eldest brother, emigrated to the United States; engineer.

DAW KHIN KYI: Suu’s late mother, nurse-turned-diplomat.

MICHAEL ARIS: Suu’s late husband.

DR SEIN WIN: cousin of Suu’s; prime minister of National Coalition Government of the Union of Burma (NCGUB) in exile.

DR TIN MAR AUNG: Suu’s personal assistant and companion.

ADRIAN AND LUCINDA PHILLIPS: Suu’s British brother- and sister-in-law, Lucinda being her late husband’s sister.

National League for Democracy (NLD)

MAUNG THAW KA: naval hero-turned-writer and poet, a Burmese Muslim, adviser to Suu; died in jail.

TIN OO: retired general, co-founder and emeritus chairman of the NLD, detained for many years.

WIN THEIN: veteran member and co-founder of NLD.

WIN TIN: dissident journalist, founder member of the NLD, jailed for nineteen years, died in 2014.

KYI MAUNG, deceased, provisional leader of the NLD who was arrested after the party’s election victory in 1990.

Burmese Democracy Activists outside the NLD

MIN KO NAING (a nom de guerre which means ‘Conqueror of Kings’), leader of the 1988 uprising.

KO MYA AYE, another leading activist in 1988, a Muslim.

ZARGANAR, one of Burma’s leading comedians.

The Government, 2010–2016, and their Military Allies

PRESIDENT THEIN SEIN: former general, elected by Parliament in 2010, served 2011–2016.

YE HTUT, President Thein Sein’s spokesman.

THURA SHWE MANN: former general, President Thein Sein’s bitter rival, Speaker of the Lower House of Parliament in Naypyidaw, de facto ally of Suu in Parliament.

EX-GENERAL HTAY OO, replaced Thura Shwe Mann as head of the USDP in 2015, a known conservative and public mouthpiece of former strongman Than Shwe after the latter’s retirement.

GENERAL MIN AUNG HLAING: Senior General of the army, successor to Than Shwe.

THAN SHWE: formerly Senior General and chairman of SLORC/SPDC, Burma’s generalissimo, in power until March 2011.

LIEUTENANT GENERAL KHIN NYUNT (RETIRED): protégé of Ne Win; head of military intelligence, purged on orders of Than Shwe after attempting to broker a peace deal with Suu in 1994. Now runs an art gallery in Rangoon.

BRIGADIER GENERAL THAN TUN: member of Khin Nyunt’s staff; negotiated with Suu in 2004.

NE WIN: general who seized power in coup in 1962, de facto ruler of the country until 1988; died while under house arrest in 2002.

Non-NLD Burmese politicians

KHUN HTUN OO, a leading politician from Shan state.

SAN TIN KYAW, a Muslim candidate in Rangoon during the 2015 election.

MYO KHIN, independent candidate in the 2015 election, ex-NLD.

DAW KHIN KHIN WIN, wife of Myo Khin.

Foreign Diplomats and Politicians

HILLARY CLINTON, Secretary of State in President Obama’s first administration, co-author of the ‘pivot to Asia’ and friend and admirer of Suu.

DEREK MITCHELL: first US ambassador to Burma in decades.

KKURT CAMPBELL: President Obama’s head of East Asian Affairs at the State Department in his first administration, helped broker improved relations between Naypyidaw and Washington.

SUSILO BAMBANG YUDHOYONO, better known in Indonesia simply as SBY, former army general then civilian president of Indonesia.

ROBERT GORDON: British ambassador in the late 1990s.

UN Human Rights Envoys

IBRAHIM GAMBARI: UN Deputy Secretary General in the mid-1990s.

RAZALI ISMAIL: UN envoy in the early 1990s.

TOMÁS OJEA QUINTANA, the UN Special Rapporteur on Burma in 2015.

Nationalist Monks and Politicians

ASHIN WIRATHU, the ‘Buddhist Bin Laden’.

PAR MOUNT KHA, anti-Muslim abbot near Rangoon.

NAY ZIN LATT, founder of the National Development Party (NDP), a new extreme nationalist party.

AUNG HTWE, vice chairman of the NDP.

Nationwide Ceasefire Negotiators

AUNG NAING OO

HAN NAUNG WAI

At the Myanmar Times

ROSS DUNKLEY: Australian entrepreneur and journalist, co-founder of the Myanmar Times.

SONNY SWE (Myat Swe in Burmese): Dunkley’s business partner at the paper’s launch, son of Brigadier General Thein Swe, later sentenced to jail like his father.

GEOFFREY GODDARD, Dunkley’s right-hand man.

DR TIN TUN OO: regime crony; chief executive of the Myanmar Times; the publisher of a number of Burmese language magazines and at the time vice chairman of the (regime-approved) Myanmar Writers and Journalists Association; known in the office as TTO.

KHIN MOE MOE: Dr Tin Tun Oo’s wife.

Others

MAUNG ZARNI: sociologist and activist.

AUNG WIN, Rohingya activist in Sittwe.

MA KHIN AYE, Muslim victim of attacks in Meiktila.

SITAGU SAYADAW, one of the most revered Buddhist teachers in the country.

PHOE THAR AUNG, farmer in the Irrawaddy Delta.

DAWT PEN, seventy-six, and Ni Kil, seventy-eight, elderly women of Nabual village, Chin state.

EINSTEIN MC KING SKUNK, punk, aka Satt Mhu Shein.

HTIN LIN OO, NLD’s former information officer, expelled from the party.

KEITH WIN, Anglo-Burmese son of a senior Burmese policeman, founder of Myanmar-British Business Association, former associate of David Cundall.

In May 1989, Burma’s military junta abruptly changed the names by which the country and many of its cities, towns and natural features were to be known internationally: ‘Burma’ became ‘Myanmar’, ‘Rangoon’ became ‘Yangon’, ‘Pegu’ became ‘Bago’, and so on. Aung San Suu Kyi and the National League for Democracy have never accepted the new names because they were imposed without democratic consultation by a body with no constitutional legitimacy. For that reason, although some of these names have become more current in recent years, in this book the older forms are retained.

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INTRODUCTION

GIVE US OUR country back. It’s the cry of the oppressed and the dispossessed everywhere.

As I write we hear that cry most urgently from the people of Syria, their land torn apart by foreign militias, the machinery of the state turned against them, forced to flee for safety to anywhere that will take them. They are suffering dispossession of the most absolute type.

But there are other ways a people can be dispossessed. The Burmese feel they had their country stolen by the army more than fifty years ago. Since then they have been doing everything to get it back. They have protested in the streets and been gunned down, they have fled to the borders or into exile to fight the army from outside, they have fallen in behind a leader who promised to free them from their chains and give them back what they had lost, and twice they have voted overwhelmingly for that leader to take power. The first time the vote was simply brushed aside and normal dictatorial service resumed. The second time was on 8 November 2015. The result was the same as the first, an overwhelming mandate for Aung San Suu Kyi and her party to form a government and banish the tyrants. Unlike the first time, the military, closely watched by the international community, agreed to abide by the rules. By the time you read this we will know if they stuck to that commitment, what form the agreement has taken and how far the wishes of the people have been followed. Then, of course, there are the years ahead, with all their vast uncertainties.

But what can be said with confidence is that on 8 November 2015 the Burmese people spoke with just about as unanimous a voice as is conceivable in an election, brushing aside the threats, bribes, inducements, the chauvinistic warnings and all the other devices seized on by the military to try to tilt the result its way, and gave Aung San Suu Kyi and her National League for Democracy an overwhelming mandate to rule, with nearly 80 per cent of the seats in both houses of parliament. As anyone who was present will agree, it was an ecstatic moment of national catharsis, comparable to the fall of the Berlin Wall and the other events that heralded the end of Soviet hegemony in Eastern Europe twenty-five years ago. Burma will never be the same again.

*

Burma is the in-between country. Its size is imposing, larger than France, a little smaller than Texas, with a population of 53 million, but because it is squashed between India and China, and so much smaller than either, it seems by contrast a diminutive land and its default posture is defensive. In skin colour the Burmese people are typically neither as dark as some Indians nor as pale as the Han Chinese but somewhere between the two. They are full of prejudices about both giant neighbours, while sharing much of the cultural heritage of both, notably Buddhism. Being in-between, they avoided being a destination, which was often a blessing: the British East India Company tackled Gujarat and Bengal and slowly took over India but it was the 1880s before Britain got around to completing the conquest of Burma, and it remained an afterthought to the Raj until the end of the colonial period. During the Second World War the imperial Japanese didn’t want Burma per se, they needed it in order to get their hands on India; but in the end Burma was as far as they were to get. The independence of Burma from British rule became inevitable after India got its freedom, but again there was a sense of it tagging along behind.

This vulnerability of Burma to developments beyond its borders has also given it the tendency to roll up like a hedgehog when the neighbourhood becomes too lively: to shut itself up when the Vietnam War threatened to spill across South East Asia, to spurn for decades the (pacific) advances of its South East Asian neighbours, to prefer garrisoned poverty to the risks of foreign investment, to reject ideas like democracy as if they were toxic. But the Burmese people are not as paranoid as their leaders have been over the past half century. Nor are they content to remain an impoverished and oppressed in-between place, the private domain of strutting soldiers, a country becalmed in ignorance and fear while all around other peoples and countries discover new destinies. For decades now the Burmese have been much braver than the men (all men) who arrogated control of their destiny. They dared to dream. This book is the story of how, against considerable odds and even greater resistance, some of those dreams began to come true.

*

At the same time, and for the same reason, it is the story of how the dreams of Aung San Suu Kyi began to come true. I call her Suu, which is simpler than the full mouthful, and not intended disrespectfully: when she had more time for journalists, her first words to them were often ‘Call me Suu’ and it is what she was called by friends and family throughout her years in Britain. This is the second book I have written in which Suu is the principal character, so it is a particular pleasure that my story in this volume ends with the staggering success of her and her party in Burma’s first respectable general election in more than half a century, which leaves it standing – at the time of writing – on the brink of a peaceful handover of power which cannot now be denied without a full-scale demolition by the military of all that has been achieved; a return of the hedgehog instinct that would take the country back to square one. This is not inconceivable but it is unlikely, and by writing that hypothetical and horrible possibility down in black and white, I hope in some talismanic fashion to make it even more so.

Suu’s greatness derives from the fact that for her there was never anything ‘in-between’ about Burma. She was the child of the man, General Aung San, who put the country on the map and made it an independent reality – martyred before independence could be declared, but the author of that achievement, and universally recognised as such. From her earliest years, Suu’s sense of herself was bound up with that achievement, the pride and the sorrow of it: pride in what he had wrought, sorrow at his assassination by political rivals before he could finish his work; pride as Burma took its place as the most promising ex-colony in South East Asia, sorrow as that project was hijacked by General Ne Win, sending her mother Daw Khin Kyi into gilded exile as Burma’s ambassador to India when Suu, who accompanied her, was barely into her teens.

If her parentage gave her pride, her youth and adulthood abroad gave her perspective: appreciation of the achievements of India, which had absorbed the colonialists’ culture without sacrificing its identity, and had cleaved to democracy through every temptation of secession and tyranny; budding awareness, during her years as an undergraduate at Oxford, of the values of the European enlightenment and how they fostered tolerance and secularism. Now she had experience of two great democracies from the inside; some years in New York working at the United Nations gave her direct knowledge of a third. And all the while her own country, which had begun its independent life so bravely, was festering away, a pretentious and squalid military dictatorship masquerading – it fooled no one – as a pioneer of something called ‘the Burmese way to socialism’. Ne Win ruled the country through the Burma Socialist Programme Party (BSPP), an entity he created from scratch as a way to deflect responsibility for political and economic decisions away from the army and onto civilians, and to avoid becoming the subject of a personality cult, Mao-style. There were elections but no other parties for voters to choose from, so obviating Indian-style democratic chaos. Thus did Burma steer a course between the policies of its neighbours. But the economic disasters of the Ne Win years showed that in politics the Middle Way does not always lead to Nirvana: far from it. By the late 1980s Burma, still in reality a military dictatorship, had stagnated so thoroughly that it applied for and obtained UN status as a least-developed nation, on a par with Somalia, Eritrea and Sudan.

Britain relinquished control of Burma in 1948, but forty years later the Burmese realised they had lost their country again, and that this time it had disappeared into the pockets of military men whose only claim to legitimacy was the proclaimed need to wage endless war on the borders: against the Chinese-backed Communists, against the Shan, against the Christian Karen and Kachin and Chin, against the Muslim Rohingya. The military must stay in power to protect the nation from disintegration: that was the mantra. But the wars were never won but dragged on and on, so there was neither cause nor opportunity for the military to return to their barracks. Burma was in a permanent state of civil war, and this justified every form of abuse and repression.

This was the desperate land Suu returned to in March 1988 when her mother was hospitalised after suffering a disastrous stroke. Suu came back to nurse her. That was the only reason for her return, but by chance it was during these months that the oppressions of the BSPP government provoked the angriest protests yet against its rule, which continued month after month. Suu was the diligent and devoted mother of two sons, Alexander and Kim, then aged fifteen and eleven, the wife of an Oxford scholar, Michael Aris, a self-described housewife with modest academic ambitions – she was in the early stages of a part-time postgraduate degree at London University’s School of Oriental and African Studies in modern Burmese literature – and firm domestic roots in the soil of Oxfordshire. Her ideas, never more than hazy, of somehow complementing or completing her father’s work in her native land were as good as forgotten. But Burmese journalists and intellectuals caught up in the revolt appreciated the 24-carat value of her name and bloodline and besieged her with appeals to lend her name to the democracy movement.

After months of resistance and long discussions with her husband, who had brought the boys over for the summer holidays, Suu agreed to speak out in support of the revolt. It was the most momentous decision of her life. Despite her inexperience in public speaking and political engagement, she addressed a huge rally in Rangoon with stunning effect, demanding ‘free and fair elections … as quickly as possible’.1 She was hailed overnight as the democracy movement’s figurehead – ‘a star is born, something like that’2 as a co-founder of the NLD later put it. At this point the protest movement was so strong, and the regime so shaky, that Michael and Suu fancied that the revolution would be all over by the end of the year, and the family reunited in a brave new democratic Burma.

The reality was very different, and the long attrition of her detention, totalling fifteen years, the regime’s cruel and deliberate destruction of her family ties by refusing practically all their visa applications, Michael’s early death from cancer – these sad events were narrated in my previous book, The Lady and the Peacock. The regime expected Suu – in their eyes a frail woman, after all – to crack under the pressure and fly home to her family. Instead they discovered they were up against a force of nature, a person whose commitment to the democracy movement, entered into so late and so apparently casually, was as hard as alabaster. She would not be moved. In the end the regime compromised with her as the only way of rebuilding relations with the West, which had loaded her with honours, including the Nobel Peace Prize, and had come to regard her as an incarnation of political sanctity in the mould of Gandhi, Martin Luther King and Nelson Mandela. The Lady and the Peacock culminates in her final release from house arrest in November 2010.

This volume describes what happened next.

*

There was never in history a country called Burma until the British declared it to be one. It was a colonial invention, in the same way that India was. China, as the Chinese often like to remind us, has a history as a unitary state going back thousands of years. By contrast what we now call Burma was, like India, a patchwork of competing petty kingdoms until the colonialists with their modern weapons and big ideas came to call.

It is a mysterious country, even now. Hundreds of miles south of Rangoon it tails off into a group of tropical islands with the idyllic appearance of the Maldives. In the far north it comes up against the wall of the Himalayas and borders Tibet: there are Tibetan villages here, where they follow Tibetan-style Vajrayana Buddhism, not the Burmese version, and where the sad, dwindling remnant of the Taron, the only known race of Asian pygmies, was discovered.3

The Taron were – or are, if any of them remain alive – one of the smallest and most obscure of Burma’s huge and baffling array of tribes. Following the scheme of the colonial British, those obsessive pigeon-holers, the Burmese government accords 135 recognised ethnic groups within the grander scheme of eight ‘national ethnic races’, of which the Burmans, also known as ‘Bamar’, are much the largest. But these classifications were open to challenge even when the British made them, and today they are extremely problematic. Tribe was defined by mother tongue, but in an appendix to the census of 1931 entitled ‘A Note on Indigenous Races in Burma’, J. H. Green wrote, ‘Some of the races or “tribes” in Burma change their language almost as often as they change their clothes … Races are becoming more and more mixed, and the threads are more and more difficult to untangle.’4

This rainbow of racial groups may have presented a fascinating problem to British ethnologists and administrators but to Aung San and his colleagues, taking up the task of ruling a democratic Union of Burma, there was nothing academic about the challenge: their task was to make the newly independent nation work; yet the condition of Burma at independence bore less resemblance to, say, the United Kingdom, than to Britain after the departure of the Romans, with Celts, Angles, Saxons and Norsemen battling for land, gold and resources. No sooner were the British gone than the so-called Union started to fall apart, with groups like the Karen in the east fighting to secede, and the China-backed Communist Party doing its best to smash the whole flimsy edifice.

It is therefore not surprising that, after ten years of this, the army stepped in; first at the invitation of Prime Minister U Nu, then in 1962, of its own accord and by force. The British had held Burma together by force; the Burmese army would do likewise. But while it suited the mercantile needs of the colonialists to rule Burma as a ragbag of races, the Burmese army saw its task as welding the nation into a single unit under Burman domination; a resumption, in other words, of the predatory behaviour that preceded colonisation, but with the benefit of modern weapons and the justification of standing proud as a nation-state among other nation-states.

The attempted Burmanisation of the non-Burman portions of the country describes the past fifty years of the nation’s history, and it is fair to say that it has been a fiasco. The discrete bits of the country remain as stubbornly distinctive as ever but united with the Burman population in one respect: their hatred of the army. According themselves many of the privileges of the recently departed colonialists, the army today finds itself at least as thoroughly despised as the British were, perhaps more so. The massive turnout at the November 2015 election, and the almost equally massive mandate given to the National League for Democracy, was in one respect a peaceful way for the nation to chant, in unison, the rallying cry of the great colleague of Suu, U Win Tin, who died in 2014: back to the barracks!

The great achievement of Suu’s epic struggle against the military is this: that after twenty-seven years she has succeeded in uniting Burma under her leadership as it has never been united in its history, neither before independence nor since. The figures for the election of November 2015 speak for themselves. The NLD gained a total of 405 seats in the two houses of the Union Parliament, in the capital, Naypyidaw (if we include the 15 seats won by its Shan ally, the Shan NLD). All the other ethnic parties between them won only 55 seats. Despite the fact that Suu is herself Burman and has faced criticism since 2010 as representing the new face of the Burman ascendancy, the ethnic rainbow doesn’t see it that way. Her party also dominated in the regional assemblies, winning three-quarters of all seats and twenty-one out of twenty-nine posts for ministers of ethnic affairs.

That is the scale of her victory. How are we to understand it?

Like the Burma Socialist Programme Party which preceded it, the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) which ruled from 2010 was a Frankenstein creation, the handiwork of the army, with no political roots in the population. It rigged the 2010 election, when Suu was still in detention and the NLD did not compete. But in the free and fair contest of November 2015 it won only 42 seats, one-tenth as many as the NLD.

The USDP’s ranks were dominated by former army officers, and like the BSPP its job was to do the army’s bidding while deflecting from the army the political flak that resulted. The fate of these two parties, both dubious inventions, was the same: twenty-seven years apart, they were both mortally wounded, and the army humiliated.

The difference this time is that the army has back-up protection in the form of a constitution, endorsed in a rigged referendum in 2008, which guarantees and perpetuates its predominance: a central role in government, a major stake in parliament, and if all else fails the right to declare martial law and take over directly. This constitution is fiendishly difficult to amend. And it bars anyone whose husband or child has a foreign passport – someone like Suu, for example – from becoming president, which is where executive power resides.

In other words, after the debacle of 1988, when Burma came closer than at any time before or since to a revolution, the army evolved a strategy for clinging to power by making the central organs of state siege-proof. It guaranteed that even if they failed to win the election they would still be substantially in charge.

The 2015 election was thus seen by the Burmese less as a contest between political parties than a battle between the people and the army. The people were united behind a single leader – but the army had bunkers to retreat to. In the event of a landslide victory for the people, the army in its constitution-bunker would remain in control.

That was the situation after the election results were published, and it presented Suu, the unchallenged winner, with a predicament. Would she try to flush the army out of its bunker or leave it where it was? Would she go all out for a constitutional revolution, however difficult that might be, which would culminate in sending the troops back to their barracks? Or would she seek an accommodation with the army, ruling with their consent and accepting their interference?

The danger of the second option is that she could find herself hobbled by the generals, tainted by their continual meddling in government, watching her precious political capital dwindle as her mantle of democracy heroine became tattered. There were already signs of that happening after she became an MP in 2012 and worked alongside former military figures, and on one or two occasions stunned protesters by coming out in support of the army’s position. To go further down that road would be to risk frittering away all she has worked for, with such sacrifice – the people’s trust.

The danger of the first option is impasse. As mentioned, the 2008 constitution is siege-proof. It was made in such a way as to be very hard to change. If Suu determines that no other reforming work can be done until the constitution is changed, Burma could find itself seriously stuck. That, too, would damage her reputation, both at home and abroad.

Whichever choice she makes – or if she is ingenious enough to find a third way, avoiding the perils of both – her personal and political resources will be tested as never before.

*

In the five years after her release in 2010, Suu grew from being a heroine who was largely unknown except for her suffering and courage to a fully fledged politician, but one about whom many people had serious doubts. That evolution is in large part the story this book tells; and the failings and limitations she revealed in the eyes of her former supporters in the West – her failure, in particular, to live up to her reputation as a champion of universal human rights – are closely examined.

The story has a twist in the tail: if Western commentators, including this one, came to have misgivings about her, it turns out that the people of Burma did not share them. Buddhist, Muslim and Christian, Burman and non-Burman, urban and rural, rich and poor, they overwhelmingly backed her. For the people who really matter, in her first five years of freedom she did not put a foot wrong.

It is hard to believe that some of the quirks and foibles that I and others have identified will not present problems as she moves to exercise power over her 53 million people. She does not delegate. She has no obvious successor. She has shown no interest in or capacity for sharing power in the party: it’s all about her. Her party’s manifesto is a string of vague good intentions.

But who knows? She has astonished everyone, friends and enemies, for a long time, by her resilience and determination. Now she stands on the brink of achieving her great goal, she may do so again.

1

SUU KYI FREE

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ON 21 JUNE 2012, after the most extraordinary ten months in independent Burma’s history, Aung San Suu Kyi stood on the top step of an ancient hall by the Thames in London.

A man who had fought for his country’s independence had stood near this spot eight centuries before. William Wallace, Scottish patriot, was found guilty of high treason here in 1305. He was hanged, then cut down alive and disembowelled; his head and his limbs were cut off, and pieces of his body were sent back to Scotland to show the price of rebellion.

Time moves on, perspectives alter. Charles de Gaulle, Nelson Mandela and Barack Obama had more recently stood here and spoken. But the invitation to do so is a rare privilege, as John Bercow, Speaker of the House of Commons, said in his introduction: ‘This hall has hosted many events over the past 900 years. In recent times only a few international figures … have spoken here. Today, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi will become the first figure other than a head of state, the first woman from abroad, and the first citizen of Asia to do so.’

Her audience included the prime minister of Great Britain, David Cameron, the leader of the Opposition, Ed Miliband, and hundreds of British political and cultural grandees. Mr Cameron, who had met Suu for the first time two months before at her home in Rangoon, was the only begetter of the occasion. When he had proposed it, there were rumours of dissension from the precedent-mad people at Westminster:1 the man in charge of the House of Lords, known as Black Rod but real name Lieutenant General David Leakey, was reported to have insisted that only heads of state, actual or former, were entitled to address a joint session of Parliament; for Suu Kyi, a common-or-garden Burmese MP, and a newly elected one at that, such a forum was out of the question. The prime minister was ‘apoplectic’, the Telegraph reported, and insisted on the event going ahead.

Suu alluded to the controversy in her speech. ‘I understand that there was some debate,’ she said, ‘as to whether I should speak here … or elsewhere in the Palace of Westminster.’ It may have amused her that the person trying to put her in her place was a senior military man, just like at home.

This is the way Suu’s life has proceeded: long periods of stasis, then sudden dizzying leaps. Years becalmed in comfortable north Oxford as wife, mother and faintly frustrated writer and scholar – then, within a matter of months, a fully formed political career conjured from nothing, leadership of the most potent mass movement in her nation’s history.

Long years of house arrest, years of total seclusion and isolation that would test the sanity of a holy ascetic – then, as if by magic, here she stands at the head of Westminster Hall, addressing both houses of the British Parliament, no longer as an enemy of the state, a convicted rebel and unrepentant dissident but as an elected member of the newly constituted Burmese Parliament.

‘The courage of our guest is legendary,’ Mr Bercow continued. ‘She has withstood the unimaginable suffering of separation from her family and her people with the dignity, fortitude and resolve that most of us can barely conceive. Her connections with the United Kingdom, reinforced in Oxford yesterday, are intimate. She has been the symbol of resistance to a regime which, even in an imperfect world, has been exceptional in its barbarity …

‘As the United Nations has documented – and from my own research I attest – this is a cabal guilty of rape as a weapon of war, extrajudicial killing, compulsory relocation, forced labour, deployment of child soldiers, use of human minesweepers, incarceration of opponents in unspeakable conditions, destruction of villages, obstruction of aid, and excruciating torture. Burma has become a beautiful but benighted land where fear runs through society like blood running through veins. One woman has now defied a dictatorship of such depravity for two decades. That’s why Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, a leader and a stateswoman, is here in Westminster Hall this afternoon.

‘It is my pleasure,’ the ringmaster of the Westminster circus declared in conclusion, ‘to welcome the conscience of a country and the heroine of humanity, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi!’

*

Aung San Suu Kyi had been locked up, mostly in her own home, for more than fifteen years before she was released in November 2010. She was far more famous as an absence, a suffering victim, than when she was the active leader of her party and Burma’s democracy movement, a phase that lasted less than a year. When they confined her to her home for the first time, on 21 July 1989, a spokesman for the regime, which had recently branded itself SLORC, the State Law and Order Restoration Council, said she was to be detained for at least a year2 for ‘committing acts designed to put the country in a perilous state’. But there was no trial, no legal process of any sort: extra-legal caprice was the way the regime terrorised its subjects. Her first spell of house arrest lasted to July 1995, a few days under six years.

Over the next fifteen years she was locked up and released, locked up and released as the tides of power among the ruling generals ebbed and flowed. She was never free long enough to resume a normal life. She never knew when her freedom would be taken away again.

But in 2010, we were told, it was all going to be quite different. Burma had a constitution now, which the people had endorsed in a (deeply flawed) referendum. The constitution meant that there were going to be elections to a new parliament, and the country was going to be run by civilians. True, all of them had been senior generals until five minutes before, but the optics would be different, the new rulers’ hands would be tied by the rules they had signed up to under the constitution; and the freedom of the most famous woman in the country was part of the new deal.

Nonetheless, people were highly sceptical. Even some of her closest colleagues in the National League for Democracy (NLD) did not believe Suu was going to be freed. I remember the electric anticipation as the hours and minutes to her appointed liberation ticked by, shot through with poisonous anxiety.

I was in Mae Sot, on Burma’s border with Thailand at the time. I had been expelled from Burma a few days before the election, having been exposed as an undercover reporter. Mae Sot, with its large population of Burmese refugees and political exiles, was the closest I could get.

I passed the time at the Mae Sot office of the NLD, a two-storey detached house with a lawn on the southern edge of the town. These people had been exiles here for years. In 1990 the NLD had trounced the military junta’s proxy party in a general election, but the generals simply ignored the result and threw as many MPs-elect in jail as they could lay hands on. Those who managed to escape fled, many of them eastward, towards Thailand. They had remained here in limbo ever since.

For two decades Burma appeared to be completely stuck. Political repression was total. The political prisoners – in 2010 there were more than 2,100 of them – remained locked up in the regime’s primitive jails where many had languished for years. Those who had gone into exile remained abroad.

But this time her release was not the fruit of autocratic caprice, not a stunt for the international audience, but a carefully planned event in the junta’s bid to remain in power while gaining diplomatic credibility. The new constitution endorsed in the carefully stage-managed referendum of 2008 was envisaged as a step in the creation of what the military called ‘discipline-flourishing democracy’. The general election that had just been held was equally controlled and carefully cooked; it was the next step on the junta’s road map. And Suu’s release was the next step beyond that. The entire process was sober, methodical and even, by the regime’s standards, relatively transparent. Clearly somebody new was in charge.

The new emphasis on due process had first come into focus the previous year. In May 2009 a middle-aged American crank called John Yettaw had turned up on Suu’s doorstep, demanding to be put up for the night. Suu had obliged, doubtless aware that by doing so she would be breaking the terms of her detention. Both Yettaw and Suu (and Suu’s two maids) were put on trial, and an extra eighteen months was added to Suu’s sentence. That term had now expired. She had done her time. She was due for release.

But that didn’t mean the Burmese believed it was going to happen. They had lived with the arrogant caprices of the generals for too long to believe anything they said. When a country has two exchange rates for its currency, one of them a hundred times greater than the other, who can place their trust in the state? Ne Win, Burma’s generalissimo for a generation, had de-monetised high-value banknotes without warning, turning millions of his countrymen into paupers overnight. His successors had called an election then tried to claim it wasn’t an election at all. They said they were going to release the Lady. Perhaps it was another of their cruel tricks.

But then on the afternoon of 13 November 2010, workmen appeared without warning in University Avenue – a crowd numbering hundreds had already gathered – and began dismantling the barricades that for twenty-one years had barred access to Suu’s home. The crowd quickly swelled to thousands. At the party’s office in Mae Sot, where the scene was transmitted live by satellite television, the exiles watched in silence. Then at 5.30 p.m. Suu Kyi’s head and shoulders suddenly appeared above the battleship-grey steel fence of her garden. The crowd roared, and did not stop roaring for five minutes.

‘When people like me were released, it was like pouring water in a flower pot,’ U Win Tin, a founder member of the NLD and a close colleague of Suu’s, had told me a few days earlier when I interviewed him in Rangoon. ‘But if Suu Kyi is released, it will be like the coming of the monsoon.’

*

There was the euphoria of her release, her triumphant return to her party’s headquarters, where she gave an impromptu speech to the happy crowds at the entrance. The office, which resembles a cattle shed, and which had been in suspended animation for years, was brought back to life, and Suu’s office on the first floor decorated to make her welcome: it was the only room in the building with wallpaper, the only one with a carpet and decent lighting and air conditioning, and in the first days after her release she gave a succession of interviews there to people like the BBC’s John Simpson. (My own attempt to get back into the country and take my place in the queue fell flat when Burma’s Bangkok consulate returned my passport with the word ‘DEPORTEE’ stamped on the visa page.) But once the international media had fed their fill and flown away, there was a sort of void. And this was both new and strange.

In the past when she was released she had always seized the initiative. In 1995, after her first spell of detention, she had taken to conversing with the crowds over her garden wall. For a while this became a fixture in the city’s life, and foreign tourists turned up to gawp. The next time she was released, she tried to leave Rangoon, but the regime repeatedly stopped her from doing so. The time after that she travelled all over the country.

But this time, after the initial burst of activity, she did none of those things. ‘When is she going to travel again?’ people asked. That was seen as the big test of the regime’s sincerity, its compliance with her freedom, the measure of whether she was free or merely on a sort of unofficial parole. Travelling was what had made Suu famous and beloved. Now she stayed home and kept quiet, and her people hardly saw her. True, there were modest signs of official relaxation: as if keeping her mouth shut and staying home were the price to be paid for small favours. Her younger son Kim obtained a visa and came to see her, bearing a puppy. For anybody who knew the family story, the pictures taken upon his arrival at Rangoon’s airport were almost unbearably poignant: mother and son reunited after so many years.

Soon after Kim’s arrival, Michelle Yeoh, the Chinese Malaysian film star, came to call. The kung-fu heroine had been cast as the lead in a film by Luc Besson about Suu’s tormented decision to place her political ambitions above her family. Although Suu has rebuffed practically all attempts to get her to open up about her private life, the doors of 54 University Avenue swung open for Michelle, and they spent a day together. Journalists who had struggled over the years to get access of any sort to the Lady wondered what Michelle Yeoh had that they lacked. Eventually it emerged that Besson had had the good idea of engaging Suu’s son Kim as a consultant on the film. (Ms Yeoh returned in June but was turned around at the airport and sent home, with the official explanation that she was on a blacklist.)

New Light of Myanmar3