Cover Page

Operational Safety Economics

A Practical Approach Focused on the Chemical and Process Industries

 

Genserik L.L. Reniers and H.R. Noël Van Erp

Safety and Security Science Group, Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands

 

 

 

 

Wiley Logo

Preface

With this book, it is our intention to fill the existing gap between the academic literature on operational safety economics within organizations, on the one hand, and the industrial situation and needs regarding the topic, on the other. The gap is wide and the bridge is difficult to construct due to the complexity and broadness of the topic and the variety of different viewpoints, perceptions and stakeholders.

The economic concepts, models and theories are explained in this book as simply as possible, but – of course – no simpler than necessary. Nevertheless, it was often a challenge to strip down the existing academic insights into clearly understandable and user-friendly practical know-how. We have provided straightforward theoretical examples and exercises and illustrated with industrial usable and credible examples wherever possible.

The book is written from the perspective of microeconomics, i.e., the single company wishing to bring more economic-related knowledge into the company's decision-making process with respect to safety. The objective is to improve decision-making based on economic approaches, models and information. Risks are considered relative, and decisions need to be made to decrease risks or certain aspects of risks, relative to other risks, or aspects of risks. Hence, this book is intended to guide the user into how risk decision-making can be improved from a single organization's viewpoint. Even if a company's safety figures are already very good, there is very often leeway for further improvement, i.e., more efficiency with the same effectiveness, or vice versa. In brief, excellence needs to be strived for. To achieve this, adequate company-specific economic considerations are required.

This book is thus not intended as a macroeconomic work. Topics such as wage differentials, inter-country or inter-company macroeconomic aspects of risks, societal cost–benefit analyses, psychometric studies of risks and so on are not discussed. The book follows the observation that in this age of technology, communication and need for respect among people, new products are being ever more cleverly engineered to accomplish incredible feats of precision and economy, but the methods and approaches used to produce them often remain stuck in an old-school, mechanistic age of production. However, the safety needs of employees, like those of customers, also require innovation and adaptation to the twenty-first century. An important way to further improve safety within many organizations is for safety managers to use economic analyses more effectively. Economic analyses, if carried out correctly, almost always show that safety investments are a no-brainer (i.e., they should be carried out), and that investing in prevention and avoiding accident costs actually is a business strategy leading to long-term profitability and to sustainable and intrinsically healthy organizations.

In summary, the purpose of Operational Safety Economics: A Practical Approach Focused on the Chemical and Process Industries is to investigate the complexity of operational risk with respect to economic issues and considerations from a single organization perspective, to provide dimensions and definitions that encompass and describe topics in operational safety economic topics. A variety of theories and methods for dealing with economic analyses in an organizational environment are thus addressed. To accomplish this purpose, previous work in the field is revisited, studied and discussed, and new ideas and innovative theories are conceptualized and debated. In the end, the objective is to clarify the economics surrounding operational safety and, where possible, to provide techniques useful for addressing operational safety decision-making while considering economic issues. There are no final answers, only some clues and paths to follow to where and how such answers might be obtained by a company's safety manager.

We wish the reader of this book an interesting read, as well as economic innovative thinking with respect to operational safety.

Prof. Dr. Ir. Genserik L.L. Reniers
Drs. H.R. Noël Van Erp

Disclaimer

The authors of this work take no responsibility whatsoever for incidents directly or indirectly, alleged or not, related to any form of application or use of methods, models, approaches, information, or any other knowledge presented and discussed in the book.

Acknowledgements

This work would not have been realized without the help of many people along the way in terms of writing and rewriting it, and in the publishing process. Therefore, I would like to dedicate the book to all those people who contributed in some way to the book.

Specifically, I would like to mention Tom Brijs, Katheleyn Van den Driessche, Jeremie Achille and Karolien Van Nunen, four excellent and very hard-working students whom I was privileged to guide.

A word of sincere thanks also goes to my colleagues Dr. Nima Khakzad, Dr. Luca Talarico, and Dr. Koen Ponnet, all of whom I am very happy and proud to also call my friends.

Furthermore, I cannot thank enough my colleague An Kempeneers for her very efficient and excellent help with the figures, the index and the list of acronyms of the book. Thank you, An!

I must also acknowledge my parents, Eddy and Iona, who are always helping when and where they can during the most hectic period of my life.

There are many other people who have contributed in some way to the realization of this work, for instance the Wiley production team who I have not explicitly mentioned, but I would also like to thank them.

Finally, I would like to dedicate the book to my wonderful wife Carmen who remained patient and helpful during the – sometimes difficult and demanding – writing process, and also to my ever enthusiastic, happy and very vivid daughter Kari. Thank you both for making me happy!

Once again, thank you all so very much!

Genserik L.L. Reniers

List of Acronyms

ALARA As Low As Reasonable Achievable
ALARP As Low As Reasonably Practicable
AZF Azote Fertilisants
BACT Best Available Control Technology
BAT Best Available Techniques
BATNEEC Best Available Technology Not Entailing Excessive Costs
BEST Break-Even Safety Target
BN Bayesian Network
CATNIP Cheapest Available Technology Not Invoking Prosecution
CBA Cost-Benefit Analysis
CEO Chief Executive Officer
CER Cost Effectiveness Ratio
CPT Conditional Probability Table
D&O Directors and Officers
DF* Disproportion Factor where moral principles are considered
DF Disproportion Factor
DF° Disproportion Factor where the Net Present Value is equal to zero
DNA Deoxyribonucleic acid
ERR External Rate of Return
EV Expected Value
FN Frequency, Number of fatalities
FR Failure Rate
HILP High-Impact Low-Probability
HOFS Human and Organizational Factors of Safety
HRO High Reliability Organisation
HSE Health and Safety Executive
ICER Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio
IRR Internal Rate of Return
ISO International Standardisation Organisation
LAC Long-term Average Cost of production
LIHP Low-Impact High-Probability
LIMID Limited Memory Influence Diagram
LTI Lost Time Injury
LTIFR Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate
LTIIR Lost Time Injury Incident Rate
LTISR Lost Time Injury Severity Rate
MC Markov Chain
MCA Multi-Criteria Assessment
MGT management
MJS Maximum Justifiable Spend
MTIFR Medical Treatment Injury Frequency Rate
NPV Net Present Value
PBP Pay Back Period
PF Proportion Factor
PV Present Value
QAAP Quality-Adjusted Accident Probability
QALY Quality-Adjusted Life Years
QRA Quantitative Risk Assessment
RM Risk Management
RSSB Rail Safety and Standards Board
SAR Social Acceptability of Risk
SFAIRP So Far As Is Reasonably Practicable
SIC Safety Investment Cost
SIO Safety Investment Option
SIP Safety Investment Project
SMART Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time bound
STOP Strategic, Technology, Organisational, Personal
TEAM The Egg Aggregated Model
TOP Technology, Organisational, Personal
TRIFR Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate
VaR Value at Risk
VoL Value of Life
VoSL Value of Statistical Life
WF Weight Factor
WTA Willingness To Accept
WTP Willingness To Pay