How to keep winning in uncertainty, complexity, and chaos.
"An antifragilista's minimalist manual
‘In theory, there’s no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.’
Our hope is that this manual serves as a battery pack for anyone who has read Antifragile, and wants to take some significant steps to implement an antifragile dynamic into their lives.
Use the quick start guide
Read the principles and get fluent with them
Take the checklists and implement them
Write your own checklists
Share them with other antifragilistas in the community
The ‘2nd order’ lens
Here’s how to start: with your life as a whole. We’ll get into checklists for money, business, health, and so on. But the place to start is life as a whole. Technically, we’ll call each specific domain of your life (like, ‘health’ or ‘personal finance’) ‘1st order’. When you put a bunch of 1st order things together you get a ‘2nd order’ perspective.
The difference really matters for antifragility. Let’s recap the concepts in order to clarify why 1st or 2nd order perspectives matter at the outset:
‘Fragile’ - something which is harmed by uncertainty, change, risk, and chaos. How fragile something is is determined by the acceleration of harm. So, a china vase is ‘fragile’ since, if you knock it over (change; chaos) it will break. The more it gets knocked, the more certainly it will break (acceleration of harm).
‘Robust’ - something which is unharmed and unchanged by uncertainty, change, risk, and chaos. Example: a steel box.
‘Antifragile’ - something which is benefited by uncertainty, change, risk, and chaos. How antifragile something is is determined by the acceleration of harm. Example: weight training, within certain parameters; challenge your body’s strength and you’ll find you get stronger. The greater the challenge, the greater the strength response (within parameters; the principle at this point is simply to clarify that there is a dynamic adaptation which is positive, in response to pain).
So this resource is all about giving you the tools to win from uncertainty and challenge in all areas of life, and to be able to be so fluent with the principles of antifragility that you can write your own checklists as needed.
Now let’s return to 1st and 2nd order; you can be antifragile within a given domain, yet, fragile on the 2nd order. Let’s say that you are making great progress in your deadlift, or your 5k run time, but your financial life is so fragile that one day you’re forced to stop your gym membership because of financial hardship. Or, your finances are great and your investments are growing year on year, but then you drop dead from a heart attack. Or find you have no one close to you to enjoy your wealth with. The point is, at the end of the day, 2nd order antifragility is the only kind that counts.
And that’s why we start with the quick start guide for 2nd order antifragility – for your life as a whole:
The quick start guide involves learning just 4 principles, and then reflecting on them across your life and activities.
Margin
Curiosity
Integrity
Execution
In health and physical training, what, specifically, do you do when you’re not making progress, or when you’re even declining? Because anyone can make initial progress with pretty much any training program.
In parenting, what, specifically, do you do in the face of challenging behaviour? Because anyone finds parenting easy when their children are being angels.
In leadership, what, specifically, do you do when you face criticism or even betrayal? Because anyone can enjoy people’s goodwill for a while.
Embrace curiosity, adventure, and playfulness
It’s all about how you execute in the downturns; make things simpler.